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Thread: Box Office Analysis-Based on TheatreRun

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    FK Citizen san's Avatar
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    Default Box Office Analysis-Based on TheatreRun


    Hi

    I was planning to do this initiative for FK Magazine. Had discussed around 2 months ago in theatre updates thread to seek opinion.

    Objectives:

    - Analyze the theatre run of movies and classify their BO status based on that
    - One Stop Shop to get theatre run summary

    Hypothesis:

    All time Hit: Greater than 3700 days
    Blockbuster: 3200- 3700 days
    Megahit: 2700 -3200 days

    Super Hit: 2300-2700 days
    Hit/Average: 1750-2300 days (budget plays a big role for these)
    Average/Flop: 1500-1750 (budget plays a big role for these)
    Flop: 1000 - 1500 days
    Disaster: Less than 1000 days

    Derived based on hypothesis

    All Time Hit: Pazhassi Raja, Twenty 20
    Blockbuster: 2HHN, Pokkiri Raja
    Mega Hit: Bhagyadevatha, IGHI

    Super Hit: Pappi Appacha, Chattambi Nadu
    Hit/Average: Bhramaram, Happy Husbands, Katha Thudarunnu, EPB, Sagar Alias Jacky (Hit/Average based on budget.. we will keep superstar movies as Average as they have higher cost)
    Average/Flop:
    Flop: Pramani, Drona
    Disaster:Alexander The Great


    Notes;

    1. All stats are based on FK Theatre updates
    2. At present a movie's run in a center is taken only by counting the number of days at a center. 2 theatres in a day or a NS will both be counted as 1. This could be amended later
    3. BO analysis is only based on run. Budget is not part of this analysis
    Last edited by san; 10-24-2011 at 05:48 PM.

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    FK Citizen san's Avatar
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    2012 - Theatre Run Analysis of Malayalam Movies (A Class)

    *Till Jan 28 2013*

    Credits: PraviatFK, Hari
    * Only A class theatre run in Kerala is considered

    Above 12,000 shows

    1 Ordinary 14070
    2 Mayamohini 13427
    3 Thattathin Marayathu 13302

    10,501 to 12,000 shows

    4 Mallu Singh 11330
    5 My Boss* 10613

    9001 to 10,500 shows

    6 Usthad Hotel 10108
    7 Run Baby Run 9385

    7501 to 9000 shows

    8 Mr Marumakan 8291
    9 Spirit 8156
    10 Diamond Necklace 7649


    6001 to 7500 shows

    11 Spanish Masala 6972
    12 Thappana 6861
    13 The King & The Commissioner 6735
    14 Casanovva 6468
    15 Baavuttiyude Namathil* 6235
    16 Grand Master 6155

    4001 to 6000 shows

    17 Husbands In Goa 5911
    18 Ayalum Njanum Thammil 5714
    19 Karmayodha* 5689
    20 Cobra 5565
    21 Second Show 5524
    22 Trivandrum Lodge 5480
    23 Da Thadiya* 5420
    24 22 Female Kottayam 5203
    25 Hero 4612
    26 Jawan Of Vellimala 4443
    27 Bachelor Party 4418

    2001 to 4000 shows

    28 Pd. Bh. Dr. Saroj Kumar 3698
    29 Masters 3676
    30 Ee Aduthakalath 3555
    31 101 Weddings 3440
    32 Simhasanam 3104
    33 Njanum Ente Familiyum 3100
    34 Thiruvambadi Thamban 3084
    35 Puthiya Theerangal 2937
    36 Face 2 Face 2823
    37 Manthrikan 2669
    38 Chettayees 2641
    39 Shikari 2481
    40 Kunjaliyan 2267
    41 Thalsamayam Oru penkutti 2265
    42 Matinee 2084
    43 Madirashi 2053
    44 Achante Aanmakkal 2007

    1001 to 2000 shows

    45 Naughty Professor 1970
    46 Unnam 1950
    47 Theevram 1934
    48 Asuravithu 1913
    49 I Love Me 1876
    50 Banking Hours 10 to 4 1795
    51 Friday 1794
    52 Molly Aunty Rocks 1770
    53 Cinema Company 1758
    54 Vadhyar 1724
    55 916' 1571
    56 Last Bench 1475
    57 Nidra 1319
    58 MLA Mani 1258
    59 Chattakkari 1245
    60 Fathers Day 1156
    61 Chapters* 1014

    Less than 1000 shows

    62 No 66 Madura Bus 967
    63 Doctor Innocentanu 917
    64 Veendum Kannur 904
    65 Mullasseri Madhavankutty 895
    66 The Hit List 862
    67 Crime Story 859
    68 Poppins 856
    69 Perinoru Makan 848
    70 Idiots 831
    71 Rasaleela 794
    72 Mullamottum Munthiricharum 780
    73 Namukku Parkkan 736
    74 Arike 670
    75 Ardhanari 662
    76 Yakshi Faithfully Yours 626
    77 Karmayogi 612
    78 Outsider 600
    79 Superstar Santhosh Pandit 562
    80 Ozhimuri 554
    81 Akashathinte Niram 546
    82 Orange 545
    83 Navagatharkku Swagatham 545
    84 Bhoopadathil illatha Oridam 541
    85 Scene 1 Nammude Veedu 520
    86 Ideal Couple 513
    87 Orkut Oru Ormakoottu 503
    88 Theruvu Nakshatrangal 490
    89 Prabhuvinte Makkal 459
    90 Gruhanathan 457
    91 Kochi 429
    92 Ivan Megharoopan 424
    93 Parudeesa 418
    94 Manjadikkuru 392
    95 Ezham Suryan 367
    96 Kaashh 340
    97 Snake&Ladder 332
    98 Ithra Mathram 328
    99 Kochi to Kodambakkam 327
    100 Josettante Hero 314
    101 Nadabrahmam 314
    102 Gramam 308
    103 Vaidooryam 290
    104 Ajantha 269
    105 Hide N Seek 214
    106 Themmadikoottam 186
    107 Ee Thirakkinidayil 181
    108 Oru Kudumba Chithram 180
    109 Pulival Pattanam 174
    110 Lt Col Satheesh Pandit 170
    111 Aakasmikam 169
    112 Kalikalam 167
    113 Lakshmi Vilasam 152
    114 Red Alert 136
    115 Umakkuyil Padumbol 123
    116 Lumiere Brothers 113
    117 Track 105
    118 Silent Valley 103
    119 Dhanyam 81
    120 Karppoora Deepam 51
    121 Neeranjanam 42
    122 Padmavyooham 35
    123 Pakarnattam 32
    124 Ennennum Ormakkayi 28
    125 Chuzhalikkaattu 24
    126 Little Master 22
    127 Kudaram 20
    128 Bodhi 9

    * Red indicates currently running movies
    Last edited by san; 01-28-2013 at 04:02 PM.

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    Last edited by san; 03-07-2012 at 07:44 PM.

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    Please refer to the spreadsheet to get an approximate figure only. It could have errors.

    2011 movies status

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/spre...UE&output=html
    https://spreadsheets.google.com/spre...nc&output=html


    2010 movies status

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/spre...VE&output=html

    2009 and Before (Pazhassiraja vs Twenty20, Annan Thampi vs Madampi, Hello vs Mayavi)


    https://spreadsheets.google.com/spre...Gc&output=html




    Top 25 movies in 2010 by theatre run (Jan. 31, 2011)



    Blockbuster (above 12,000 shows)

    1. Pokkiriraja- 13753 shows


    Mega hit (10,501 to 12,000 shows)

    2. Karyasthan*- 11432 shows

    3. In Ghost House Inn- 11166 shows


    Super hit
    (9001 to 10,500 shows)

    4. Marykkundoru Kunjadu* - 9558 shows

    5. Shikkar- 9289 shows


    Hit (7501 to 9000 shows)

    6. Pappy Appacha- 8700 shows

    7. Elsamma enna Aankutty- 8552 shows

    8. Bodyguard- 8396 shows

    9. Happy Husbands- 7895 shows

    10.Kadha Thudarunnu- 7808 shows

    11. Best Actor* - 7647 shows


    Average (6001 to 7500 shows)

    12.Pranchiyettan and the Saint*- 6801 shows

    13.Mummy and Me- 6794 shows

    14.Malarvadi Arts Club- 6551 shows

    15.Janakan- 6300 shows


    Flop
    (4501 to 6000 shows)

    16.Thanthonni- 5527 shows

    17.Anwar- 5278 shows


    18.Oru Naal Varum- 5266 shows

    19.Pramaani- 5130 shows

    20.Yakshiyum Njanum- 5056 shows

    21.Aagathan- 4746 shows

    22. Kandahar -4690 shows


    Disaster (4500 shows and below)

    23. Drona 2010- 4120 shows

    24. The Thriller- 4048 shows

    25. 4 Friends- 3620 shows


    * still running

    • Vandematharam, Allexander the Great, Apoorvaragam, Cocktail etc were found to have number of shows less than top 25 and can be called clear disasters.


    • Mary can easily get mega hit status looking at the current trend and could become blockbuster if luck permits.



    Disasters

    Quote Originally Posted by san View Post
    Only two disasters are found till now..(less than 1000 days)

    ATG - 798 days
    Angel John - 853 days
    Flops

    Quote Originally Posted by san View Post
    These surely had a flop run at BO.

    Drona - 1121 Days
    Loud Speaker - 1267 days
    Pramani - 1342 Days

    Chattambi

    Quote Originally Posted by san View Post
    Body Guard has just about a superhit run..(just crossed 2300 mark)

    BG ran for 2305 days + extra run of 64 days....
    Pappy was 2388 days + extra run of 35 days
    Chattambi was 2349 days + extra run of 46 days

    But it had a higher dip in no.of theatres after initials unlike other superhits Chattambi nadu & Pappi Appacha, but sustained in longer run.

    Last edited by Baazigar; 02-02-2014 at 04:13 AM.

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    Starting with Pokkiri Raja - Categorized as blockbuster

    Total days: 3318 (as of now - movie is still running)

    Max Run 87
    Total Days 3318
    Total Centers Released 67


    1 week 67
    2 weeks 67
    3 weeks 67
    4 weeks 67
    5 weeks 60
    6 weeks 43
    7 weeks 33
    50 days 28
    75 days 4
    100 days & more 0 (as of now)

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    enthanu paripadi ennu manasilayila
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    In Ghost House Inn - Categorized as Megahit

    Total days 2791


    Max Run 106
    Total Days 2791
    Total Centers Released 64

    1 week 64
    2 weeks 64
    3 weeks 61
    4 weeks 55
    5 weeks 47
    6 weeks 36
    7 weeks 13
    50 days 13
    75 days 6
    100 days & more 3

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    Kollaam.....

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    Best of luck
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    Good thread....ALL THE BEST san....



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