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Alarm bells ring over H5N1 bird flu: Experts warn of pandemic worse than Covid
NEW DELHI: Experts are sounding the alarm over the potential for a bird flu pandemic that could be significantly more devastating than the Covid-19 crisis, with the H5N1 strain posing a particularly dire threat. According to recent briefings, virus researchers have indicated that H5N1 is inching "dangerously close" to triggering a global pandemic, with the White House saying it is actively "monitoring" the evolving situation.
Recent cases stirring alarm
The urgency of the matter was underscored by the discovery of multiple H5N1 infections across a variety of mammals, including cows, cats, and humans, which raises concerns about the virus mutating to become more easily transmissible among humans. This development comes on the heels of a dairy farm worker in Texas testing positive for the virus, along with infections reported in 12 herds of cows across six states and three cats in Texas that succumbed to the virus, a Daily Mail report said.
Expert opinions on the threat level
Dr Suresh Kuchipudi, a prominent bird flu researcher, warned that we are nearing the threshold of a potential pandemic caused by H5N1. He emphasized that the virus has already shown the ability to infect a wide range of mammalian hosts, including humans, making it a formidable pandemic threat. Echoing this sentiment, John Fulton, a pharmaceutical industry consultant, highlighted the grave implications of H5N1 mutating while maintaining its high fatality rate, which could result in a pandemic far worse than Covid-19.
"This appears to be 100 times worse than Covid, or it could be if it mutates and maintains its high case fatality rate," Fulton said.
The H5N1 fatality rate
The World Health Organization has estimated the fatality rate for H5N1 at a staggering 52 percent, based on the data collected since 2003. In contrast, Covid-19's fatality rate is significantly lower, emphasizing the potential severity of a widespread H5N1 outbreak. Recent cases since 2020 show that nearly 30 percent of individuals infected with the new strain of H5N1 have died.
As the situation unfolds, the White House and health experts are urging for increased vigilance and preparedness. The White House press secretary assured the public that the health and safety of Americans are a top priority and that measures are being taken to monitor and address the bird flu outbreak.
Beyond the immediate health risks, the spread of H5N1 has broader economic implications, particularly for the dairy and poultry industries. With infected cattle showing symptoms and a requirement to cull infected birds, there could be a significant impact on the supply and pricing of milk and eggs.
100 times worse than Covid pandemic: Experts on risk of H5N1 bird flu outbreak
Experts raised concerns over the threat of a new pandemic during a recent briefing where researchers discussed the H5N1 strain of bird flu.
Experts raised concerns over the potential rapid spread of the bird flu pandemic, which may lead to an exceptionally high fatality rate and can be 100 times worse than the Covid pandemic, reported the Daily Mail, a UK-based tabloid.
The potential threat of a bird flu pandemic can be worse than Covid, say experts.
The report cited experts who raised concerns over the threat of a new pandemic during a recent briefing where researchers discussed the H5N1 strain of bird flu. The virus is approaching a critical threshold, and has the potential to cause a global pandemic, said scientists.
Dr Suresh Kuchipudi, a prominent bird flu researcher in Pittsburgh, warned during the briefing that H5N1 flu can cause a pandemic due to its ability to infect a wide range of mammals, including humans. We are getting dangerously close to this virus potentially causing a pandemic, he said.
We are not really talking about a virus that is yet to make a jump, we are talking about a virus that is globally present, already infecting a range of mammals and is circulating It is really high time that we are prepared, Dr Kuchipudi said during the briefing.
Another expert, John Fulton, emphasised that the potential H5N1 pandemic could be extremely severe, making it far deadlier than the Covid-19 pandemic.
Fulton, who is a pharmaceutical company consultant, said, This appears to be 100 times worse than Covid, or it could be if it mutates and maintains its high case fatality rate. Once its mutated to infect humans, we can only hope that the [fatality rate] drops.
World Health Organization (WHO) data shows that 52 out of every 100 patients infected with H5N1 virus have died since 2003, making its fatality rate over 50 per cent. Meanwhile, the current Covid fatality rate is 0.1 per cent, dropping down from 20 per cent from the start of the pandemic.
Out of the total 887 reported cases of the bird flu virus, 462 deaths were recorded, according to WHO data.
The Daily Mail report came soon after outbreaks of avian flu were reported in a poultry facility in Michigan and an egg producer in Texas. Reports have also surfaced of dairy cows contracting bird flu, and the first documented case of a human getting the virus from a mammal.
'100 times worse than Covid': Scientists warn of deadly H5N1 bird flu pandemic
Experts have highlighted that the H5N1 pandemic could be much more severe than the Covid-19 pandemic.
Experts have raised concerns about the bird flu pandemic potentially spreading rapidly, with warnings that it could be far worse than Covid-19. According to the Daily Mail, during a recent briefing, researchers discussed the H5N1 strain of bird flu, highlighting its ability to infect a wide range of mammals, including humans.
Dr. Suresh Kuchipudi, a prominent bird flu researcher in Pittsburgh, emphasized the virus's pandemic potential. We are getting dangerously close to this virus potentially causing a pandemic, he said.
We are not really talking about a virus that is yet to make a jump, we are talking about a virus that is globally present, already infecting a range of mammals and is circulating It is really high time that we are prepared, Dr Kuchipudi said during the briefing.
Another expert, John Fulton, highlighted that the H5N1 pandemic could be much more severe than the Covid-19 pandemic.
Fulton, who is a pharmaceutical company consultant, said, This appears to be 100 times worse than Covid, or it could be if it mutates and maintains its high case fatality rate. Once its mutated to infect humans, we can only hope that the [fatality rate] drops.
According to data from the World Health Organization (WHO), the H5N1 virus has resulted in a fatality rate of over 50% since 2003, with 52 out of every 100 infected patients succumbing to the virus. In contrast, the current fatality rate for Covid-19 is 0.1%, significantly lower than its initial rate of 20% at the onset of the pandemic.
WHO data indicates that out of the 887 reported cases of bird flu, 462 deaths have been recorded.
The Daily Mail report follows recent outbreaks of avian flu in a poultry facility in Michigan and an egg producer in Texas. Additionally, there have been reports of dairy cows contracting bird flu, as well as the first documented case of a human contracting the virus from a mammal.
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